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The survey report on the French elections 4th May, 2012 (anglais)

Publié le 01/06/2012

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    This report is intended to give a brief summary of the French elections, which took place on the 4th of May, 2012. The survey was conducted by the Ifop for Fiducial/Paris Match from the 1st to the 4th of May, 2012. A total of 1225 people were questioned in the Internet whom would they vote for in the second tour (among them were the voters of the other candidates) and whether they would like to change their choice or not. The results are as follows.

    The first questionnaire shows that over 55% of French voters would cast their votes for Hollande, which is the highest result. His worst result is only 3% lower that is 52% (Honestly, I don’t get the idea). As for Sarkozy, the largest number of respondents who chose him is 48%. From the 23th to the 25th of May he got the lowest result – 45%.

 

    In the second section of the Ifop survey we find out that 86% of Mélenchon`s eleсtors balloted for Hollande, while only 2% of them voted for Sarkozy (the worst result in the section). The lowest result (16%) François Hollande gained from Le Pens`s voters, while Sarkozy got his highest result (55%) on the 4th of May. As for Bayrou`s electors, the majority of them (42%) abstained from voting. The highest number of votes (40%) was given to Hollande.

    In the last section the data suggests that most of people have already made up their mind (84%), compared to 20% of those who have not decided yet. It is interesting to note that during all the period of public opinion polls there were always more than 80% of electors who made their final decision.

    As can be seen from the findings of this report, the largest number of respondents has already made a decision on the candidacy for the second tour. It would be fair to conclude that the highest result gained Hollande. We can also say that among the other candidates` electors it was the Mélenchon`s one who gave Hollande the best result, while Sarkozy was mostly supported by Le Pen`s voters.

There is a terrible confusion of the tenses and some inaccuracies to boot.

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